So here comes the Boston Globe telling us that Romney’s advertising is paying off in Iowa.
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/05/29/with_iowa_lead_romney_faces_big_expectations/
I don’t want to be a know it all, but I’ve been saying for over a year that Romney will win in 2008. Here’s why; Romney provides the glue for Republican party. He captures both the interests of social and fiscal conservatives, who split the party in the last election. Mormanism isn’t a hinderance in the face of the alternative to a God-centered world-view. In fact, it throws enough wild card in there to make him appear fresh – different.
Finally, he’s a man. (And an alpha-male at that). Being a man is good in the world of terrorism – I’m trying not to be chauvanistic, just realistic. The greater the threat of terrorism, the more important the “man factor” will be to Americans.
The Democrats lack enough unity to get Hillary elected. Their interests vary from complaining about the war, to hatred of Bush, to a variety of random left-wing fringe interests. They don’t have the sticking power with that range of issues to hold it together, and their survival is dependent upon high-rolling, easy-going times.
My prediction is that Obama will go down burning – he’s too young, and the Dems can will need to choose their best “man”. If it’s not the primary, then suddenly someone will come up with something – maybe something he says, or something from his past that will disqualify him. What really will happen is that they are choosing their best bet.
I personally am not a huge Romney fan, but I do feel good about his chances.
Well, I’ve got it down onpaper now. Let’s see what happens in 2008!
